“Congrats to our players & teams and thank you fans for your patience. The NFL will be better than ever
#backtofootball“
Thanks to the “graciousness” of both the NFLPA and the NFL, football fans did NOT have to miss a single game. However, this was not news to me. The NFL makes money hand over fist and if this entire lockout was just one big game of chicken between both sides, it promised to end without a single game being missed. Fact is, the NFL had too much to lose by NOT agreeing on a new labor deal before any games were missed than standing there with their pride and stalling a season and losing possibly millions.
Don’t get me wrong, the possibility always existed that the NFL would miss games due to its popularity. Regardless of how many games were lost during the season, the fans would’ve came back in droves. That’s how solid the product is, no matter how many ways the NFL plans on softening the game to limit injuries.*
*= Tell that to Giants fans who’ve seen any and everyone go down with season ending injuries.
But football is back for yet another go of it, and thanks to a shortened offseason without minicamps, full training camps, teams looked rusty and rookies looked even more confused.
This season all hinges on ONE player. Fantasy and actual season. Michael Vick. IF he plays 16 games, and you draft him in your league, you will win your league. IF he starts 16 games in the actual league, the Eagles will win homefield advantage throughout the playoffs and have the best chance to return to the NFC Championship game.
Those are two very big IFs. Consider the following statistic: in his 8 year NFL career, he has finished 16 games only once. But Vick fans can be happy in this following stat, he’s finished 15 games in 3 other seasons including a 5 season stretch where he played: 15, 5, 15, 15, 16. Not bad for a player who’s supposedly such an injury risk. His style of play makes it difficult for his team to watch him without popping pills to calm their nerves. Of course, on the other side, head coaches are needing to do the same because of all the anguish he causes coordinators and coaches alike. His athleticism, his skill set make him a player who can TRULY change games.
Think about it this way: in the last 50 years the game of football has seen only 4 absolute game changers. Players who defenses had to do the “close-your-eyes-and-pray-that-you-got-him” defense because there was no game plan in place to stop them.
1. Jim Brown.
2. Barry Sanders.
3. Bo Jackson
4. Michael Vick.*
The only way those four guys could be stopped is if they were injured, got caught abusing animals or decided to retire abruptly following their best season. And that’s exactly what happened to all of them. There’s an asterisk next to Vick because I believe this is the second reincarnation. In Michael Vick 1.0, we saw a player who relied far too heavily on his God-given ability to elude defenders and played video game football.
In a recent interview with GQ, Vick intimated that he was “advised” by Roger Goodell to go to the Eagles. Now, while this can be seen as tampering by our fair commissioner I think it makes absolutely perfect sense. Vick is a once in a generational talent that when playing can be the face of an entire league and the NFL wasn’t about to let him ruin that by allowing him to enter a free market where he could’ve ended up in a bad organization. By all accounts, the Eagles are a model franchise with plenty of stability and an ownership group committed to winning and continuity which for any troubled athlete is important. It was either there or New England and they already have a QB.
But Vick 2.0 also was greatly helped by having longtime friend Donovan McNabb in place, along with a bevy of good QB coaches to help his maturation- something that wasn’t given to him in Atlanta where his best receiving threat was Alge Crumpler. The commissioner was pretty much securing his lottery ticket and using the excuse of Vick’s development as a human being as the forefront for any discussion about Vick.
Make no mistake that this year’s NFL depends completely on the health of Michael Vick. And that begins my annual column of 46 truths leading up to Super Bowl 46 in Indy.
2. Ben Tate will be the featured Houston RB when the fantasy football playoffs start.
3. The Eagles will NOT win more than 11 games.
4. The Eagles WILL NOT win the NFC EAST. That honor will go to the Dallas Cowboys who will have a huge bounceback season from Tony Romo and a more determined Dez Bryant.
5. The NFC East will go like this: Dallas, Philly, Giants, Washington with NO TEAM finishing less than 8-8.
6. The worst team in the entire NFL will be the Seattle Seahawks. Even in that pathetic NFC West division in which we may see another 7-9 team make the playoffs, they won’t win more than 3 games.
7. This will mercifully end the pathetic Pete Carroll regime in Seattle.
8. The Jacksonville Jaguars will be announced as the team that will eventually go to play in Farmer’s Stadium in downtown Los Angeles.
9. The Buffalo Bills will be the surprise team of the AFC by going a respectable 7-9.
10. The AFC East will play out like this: Patriots, Jets, Bills, Dolphins.
11. Out of the six AFC teams that made the playoffs last season, the Colts and the Chiefs will NOT make the playoffs this year.
12. The Jets will NOT make the Super Bowl this year.
13. The Ravens WILL make the Super Bowl this year.
14. The AFC North will go something like this: Ravens, Steelers, Browns, and Bengals.
15. The offensive rookie of the year will be Cam Newton.
16. Defensive Rookie of the year will be Von Miller from the Broncos.
17. Offensive MVP of the league will be Drew Brees now that they will have a much better running game with Mark Ingram in the fold.
18. Defensive MVP of the league will be Ndamkong Suh. This is not a stretch. I’ve been a fan of this guy since
this. People say he’s dirty, of course those guys probably were breast fed till the age of 12 so what do they know?
19. The number one defense in the NFL will be the that of the New York Football Jets. The number one offense? San Diego Chargers. Seen their recievers? I’d take any of their receivers as the number 3 on my fantasy team any day of the week with the exception of Vincent Jackson who could be in line for a monster year.
20. The best fantasy QB will be Philip Rivers. The best fantasy RB will be Chris Johnson who WILL go over 2000 yards. The best Fantasy WR will be Larry Fitzgerald who will catch over 100 balls and 17 TD’s in Arizona who quietly may have rebuilt that offense to elite form.
21. The best record in the AFC will belong to the New England Patriots while the best record in the NFC will belong to the New Orleans Saints.
22. The Brett Favre saga will reconvene in Week 4 when all the crops will have been destroyed by a mysterious fire in Mississippi forcing Favre to realize he has no other hobbies and begin to “throw the football around with the local HS team.”
23. The NFL will catch up to 5 players using the new blood test when checking players for performance enhancing drugs.
24. The NFC East will be the most overHYPED division while the NFC North will suddenly be the division with the best in-house games.
25. Cam Newton will rush for more yards than Michael Vick this season. Yeah, I SAID IT BITCH!
26. Carson Palmer will be traded midseason by the Bengals for a fourth or fifth round pick to the…drum roll please- Miami Dolphins.
27. Bill Belichiek will release Ocho Cinco by week 8.
28. Ben Tate will be the more valuable fantasy option than Arian Foster on the Texans roster.
29. Speaking of the Texans, they will win the AFC South. The division will go Texans, Titans, Colts and Jags.
30. Matt Schaub will be one of 4 QB’s in the league to throw for 4500+ yards and pass for 26+ TD’s and throw for less than 15 INT’s. He will be joined by Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady and Drew Brees.
31. Peyton Manning will win fantasy football titles once he comes back from his surgery in about week 8 to face off against the Titans at home.
32. The Chargers will DOMINATE the AFC West and finally put together a quick start to coincide with their routinely good finishes. They face the Vikings, Patriots, Chiefs, Dolphins, Broncos, bye, the Jets and then the Chiefs. So in their first eight weeks, they could possibly go 5-2. Got to love the odds of that happening.
33. Speaking of the West, the division will round out this way: The Chargers, Raiders, Chiefs, Broncos. No offense, but the Broncos are going to need Jesus Christ to come down and physically take over Tim Tebow’s body in order for him to have success this year.
34. The Ravens and Steelers will play two very boring, low scoring games and will NOT face each other in the playoffs. Each team will win one game in the other team’s stadium.
35. Michael Vick will play ONLY 13 games this season thanks to the offensive line of the Eagles which will sport an 80% new line.
36. Jeremy Maclin will play all 16 games and out perform DeSean Jackson who will ONLY play in 12 games this season due to injuries and such.
37. The NFC West will go something like this, Rams, Cardinals, 49ers, and Seahawks. It won’t be pretty, but Sam Bradford will throw up huge numbers thanks to Josh McDaniels installing his offense.
38. The NFC South will play out this way: Saints, Falcons, Bucs, and Panthers. Even with Cam Newton’s impressive rookie campaign, the NFC South is loaded with really good teams.
39. Finally the NFC North will be the Packers, Vikings, Lions, and Bears. I tend to agree that the Bears were extremely lucky last year and rode that wave of luck to a 13-3 record. Their defense is good, but not that good and does anyone trust Jay Cutler? I’m talking to you Bears locker room.
40. The Six playoff teams from the NFC WILL BE Dallas, Philly, Packers, Saints, Falcons, and Rams. The Packers and Saints will have byes.
41. The Six playoff teams from the AFC WILL BE Pats, Jets, Ravens, Steelers, Chargers, and Texans. The Pats and the CHargers will have byes.
42. In the wild card round the Cowboys will defeat the Falcons and Philly will beat the Rams. In the AFC, the Jets will beat the Steelers, and the Ravens will beat the Texans.
43. In the Divisional round the Cowboys will beat the Packers and the Saints will beat the Eagles. In the AFC, the Jets will lose to the Pats and the Ravens will beat the Chargers.
44. In the conference championship the Cowboys will beat the Saints while the Ravens will beat the Pats.
45. The coaches who will lose their jobs will be the following: Norv Turner, Pete Carroll, Tony Sparano, and Todd Haley.
46. The Superbowl Champion will be the Baltimore Ravens.
That right there are my picks. Put them down, lock it up and let’s go.
As for today’s game I pick the PACKERS (-4.5) over the Saints.
FOOTBALL IS BACK LADIES AND GENTS! Enjoy